UP’s ‘Formula-80 Race’ and 3 teams: Will Team Modi finish in 2014-19? Or Rahul-Akhilesh will do wonders

How many teams on track for UP elections?
There are three teams on the UP election track this time. Team A- Modi-Jayant Chaudhary. Team B- Akhilesh Yadav-Rahul Gandhi, Team C- Mayawati

How many candidates are in the race in UP?
Out of 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh, BJP has fielded candidates in 75 seats. Samajwadi Party (SP) is contesting on 62 seats. Congress has contested on 17 seats (candidates to be announced in Amethi-Rae Bareli). Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) has fielded candidates in 80 out of 80 seats. Apna Dal is in the fray on 2 seats. Jayant Chaudhary’s Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) is trying its luck on 2 seats.

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Looking at these figures, Modi appears to be the Michael Schumacher of UP politics. The BJP’s strike rate in the last two elections is telling this. In 2014, under the leadership of Modi, the BJP contested on 71 seats in UP. BJP’s strike rate was 91%. In the 2019 elections, BJP contested on 62 seats. The strike rate of the party was 79%.

UP Race Finishing Positions in 2019
If we look at the final status of this election race held in 2019, BJP won 62 seats and remained at the number 1 position. Bahujan Samaj Party is at number 2 with 10 seats. The Samajwadi Party stood third with 5 seats. When Congress was last. He won only 1 seat (Rae Bareli).

In the 2017 assembly elections, the BJP secured a three-fourth majority.
However, this is not the first time that Akhilesh Yadav and Rahul Gandhi have teamed up to contest against PM Modi. Both of them came together in the assembly elections 7 years ago. But the pair went completely off track. The voting percentage in these elections was approximately 61%. The Bharatiya Janata Party won 312 seats (39.7% of the votes) and secured a three-quarter majority. While the ruling Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance got 56 seats (28.5% votes). Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party won 19 seats (22.2% of seats). Congress won 7 seats (6.3% votes).

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Every team failed against Modi
If we look at the political track of UP, every team has failed against Modi. In 2019, the SP-BSP team suffered a crushing defeat. BJP won 62 seats. His ally Apna’s party won 2 seats. The total vote percentage was 50.8 percent. BSP+SP+ won 15 seats. His vote percentage was 38.9. Congress won only one seat. His vote percentage was 6.3.

What do the experts say?
Does the coming together of Rahul Gandhi and Akhilesh Yadav after seven years seem a challenge for the BJP? In response, political analyst Aditi Fadnavis says, “Rahul Gandhi and Akhilesh Yadav coming together is symbolic in a way. People feel that the opposition is adopting all kinds of tactics to defeat Modiji and the BJP.” I will be surprised if SP drops to one or two seats in future.”

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BJP has been successful in manipulating castes…If we look at non-Yadav OBC votes, BSP’s votebank has dwindled. What equations can benefit the SP-Congress in such a situation? In response to this, political analyst Amitabh Tiwari says, “When SP and Congress fought together in 2017, their vote was limited to the MY (Muslim-Yadav) vote, which is 30 per cent of the population. They got 17 per cent. Now in 2019, if If we look at the polls, the votes of this coalition are more than 50%.

Amitabh Tiwari says, “BJP’s social engineering block is non-Yadavs, OBC Jatavs and non-Jatavs besides the upper castes. This is about 55 per cent. In such a situation, how many seats will the SP-Congress alliance be able to claim. “There is no exact equation. If people have a lot of anger, something can happen.”

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